November 23, 2003

The "diversity" visa "lottery"

The idea that the US would be doing me a favor by granting me the option to live and work (and pay taxes) in New York City is a bit ludicrous, but as long as the great and noble goals of global free trade and free labor are thwarted by the twin evils of mercantilism and populism, I am forced to resort to such ploys as the annual US diversity visa lottery. Last year 50,000 (out of the 7.3 million great unwashed who applied, plus 2.9 million unwashed unable to follow instructions properly who got disqualified) got their green cards this way.

This year, for the first time, the submission process has been moved wholesale online. Citizens of most countries and who have a high school diploma can try; there are no fees. But whereas before you needed pen, paper, stamp and a passport picture, you now need access to the web and a digital camera. This should definitely improve my chances. But is it fair?

The whole point of this lottery was to give the smart among the poor, huddled masses yearning to breathe free their big break. But while they may be the best pupil in their village in Senegal or Bangladesh, they are not going to be cropping digital shots of themselves before submitting an electronic form.

I know because as part of my job I run a website for a Swedish government initiative to help foreign students come study in Sweden. I regularly field requests for printed information about scholarships from people with no access to the web. They may be brilliant young surgeons in field hospitals or dedicated teachers in village schools, but if it has to happen via the web it ain't gonna happen.

If you can read this, you are in luck — you already won one lottery at birth and live in the wired part of the world; and you've got until Dec 30 to get yourself a free lottery ticket.

Posted by Stefan at 10:49 PM GMT
Comments
#1

In the old system, you needed "pen, paper, stamp and a passport picture" plus english literacy, the money to come to the States if you win, no doubt other stuff... While I'm with you that having the system only online further skews the process, we were already talking about a small elite in developing countries anyway, even then with a very small chance of winning.

So you're in favor of the free movement of global labor, then? In order to be realistic, I assume this means you are willing to give up retirement benefits, national health, free education... I think this may be the right position, but it is fairly radical.

Posted by: Charles on November 24, 2003 03:06 PM
#2

Although English is now officially your third language, you seem to have mastered the very Anglo art of Obfuscatory Passive Sentence Constructions: "I am forced to resort to such ploys as the annual US diversity visa lottery." Does this mean you're applying for a visa to move back to the U.S? Stockholm too dark for you? Its lauded social democracy too stifling?

Posted by: Matthew on November 24, 2003 03:20 PM
#3

A word of caution in the event that you are "lucky" enough to win the eligibility lottery: Be sure to complete the required application within the fiscal year for which you are eligible. I have seen several cases where a person failed to do so. Denial is automatic; the courts have zero discretion.

Posted by: Andrew on November 24, 2003 07:48 PM
#4

Matthew, not at all, I am trying to replicate as far as possible the state of things I would like them to be like. Do I fancy a stint in New York? No problem. Back to Europe? No problem. That sort of thing.

Charles, I don't get any and never have had any of those things anyway, so when do I get to see the upside for me?

Posted by: Stefan Geens on November 24, 2003 08:53 PM
#5

Stefan-- almost certainly the first order effects of the free movement of labor are good for you. You're rich enough not to need the free stuff and to enjoy the house servant on a dollar a day as well as educated/skilled enough to keep a well-paid job even in the face of increased competition. If that's what you care about, go wild. But stop giving Matthew a hard time for being right-wing, and embrace your neoclassical self.

Posted by: charles on November 25, 2003 02:46 PM
#6

Charles, you dolt, clearly I am aligning myself with the poor when I say "I". The world's poor would be immensely better off if they had the ability to move anywhere where there is work. It should be coupled to absolute free trade, however, because moving entire countries to the First World is not nearly as efficient as moving factories from the first to the third.

Everybody wins except unskilled laborers in the west, and even with services like software developers. So US unions are right to try to prevent globalization.

Trade tariffs and visas are preventing a natural "evening out" of the wealth disparity between first world and third. Unskilled laborers in the first are being overpaid for their output, those in the third world underpaid.

Anybody who is truly on the side of the poorest thinks Naomi Klein is a dupe.

Posted by: Stefan Geens on November 25, 2003 04:05 PM
#7

Stefan-- try this little experiment. While in Sweden, chop off your right hand and, using your left, dial whatever the Swedish for 911 is and say "I've chopped off my hand and I'm bleeding to death but I have no insurance." Record the quality of care that results.

Next, go to Chad and chop off your left foot. Using your left hand, and making sure you've done all this near one of the six phones in the country, call directory services (if they have it) and ask to be put through to a hospital (they certainly don't have a 911 system --so this will have to do). Tell the hospital where you are, what's happened, and that you have no insurance. Then bleed to death.

You already benefit from the free stuff. You do point out (and I agree) that you could benefit more. But this just shows that you are not the world's poor, or anything like it. You can tell this because you've never benefited from the free stuff and yet you are healthy and educated.

For example, your twenty-odd years of education must have been private. At (say) $2,000/year average (low, surely), your education alone has cost the total life income of a couple of people living on a dollar a day.

Meanwhile, on the trade evening out inequality issue, nice theory, shame about the evidence. Global trade barriers have been falling very fast over the past 50 years. Both the costs of transporting goods and the tariffs they face when they arrive. And yet global income inequality is shooting upwards. Go figure.

Maybe free movement of labor would work better, who knows. Whatever, I'd say that the probability is that you as a rich person in a rich country would benefit, at least in terms of purchasing power. So I can see why you might like it.

Posted by: charles on November 25, 2003 05:59 PM
#8

urk glak bleeuuuuchh. that's me being sick because i agree with stefan again.

where exactly are you going, charles? whaddaya want? autarky? stay in your miserable country, you chaddian (you chaddist? you chad? you chaddish person? help) you can't come over here because you have to stay behind on a dollar a day. perhaps who gets to go to different places should be decided by smart people who work at the world bank.

there's an aspect to free trade and movement of labour independent of economic theory and it's to do with freedom and ultimate equality. why should arbitrary things like borders determine life chances? if i want to work in the US, what is the moral or utilitarian justification that should i not be able to? for that matter if i want to buy my widgets from japan where they are cheaper (or where they might be more expensive), why should i not be able to? clearly, preventing me from doing this is a form of coercion. it might be that all the crap we learned about "Free Trade Good, Protection Bad" that Stefan is parroting is based on an economic theory that may be falsified in the future. but even if it is there's ample reason in terms of a working theory of liberty to keep free trade and movement of labour as a Good Thing.

it's very pertinent to current issues in the UK right now. New Labour is apparently readying a very tough bill to give illegal asylum seekers a good sorting out. many of them trying to get into the UK have made it here from places like nigeria where most've apparently had to cross the sahara on foot to morrocco and risked death in a dinghy on a crossing to spain and spend their life savings for the privilege. anyone who's done that to live here should get a visa just like that if you ask me. if certian people are worried about overcrowding or the ethnic makeup of this country changing for the worse, i'd be in favour of forcibly deporting them to nigeria to even things up.

Posted by: eurof on November 25, 2003 11:20 PM
#9

Charles, let us remind ourselves why these good doctors on the shores of Lake Nyasa in Malawi are not getting their green card: Because you haven't done your job properly. What good have all your trips to Africa brought the inhabitants there? Internet access -- The one thing you've been responsible for? Instead you sit at comfy hotels discussing how latency issues and nonexistent land lines make such access economically unviable. What's keeping you from taking a pick-axe and digging a trench? You might actually do something productive, even if incredibly inefficiently at your salary.

also, on a technical note, you are confusing cause and effect. If trade barriers had not been lower, income inequality would have been even higher. And you know it. In any case, free labor mobility is the big test. Want to see what the result of it is? Look at NYC.

Posted by: Stefan Geens on November 26, 2003 12:02 AM
#10

Stefan--
(1) Even more useless than digging a trench would be sitting in an African country trying to get the US to change its immigration laws. That's why I don't do it. That, and its not in the job description.
(2) "What good have all your trips to Africa brought the inhabitants there? Internet access -- The one thing you've been responsible for? Instead you sit at comfy hotels discussing how latency issues and nonexistent land lines make such access economically unviable. " This isn't English. Try again in Swedish.
(3) I'm confusing cause and effect, you say. I guess that means you think higher global inequality causes more trade. Plausible, but not really a reason to support free trade, now is it. Here's how the last century looks in global economic terms. Freer trade and rising global inequality up to WW I. Trade barriers and falling inequality inter-war. Freer trade and rising inequality post WW II. Draw your own conclusions.
(4) My point was that free movement of people makes free provision of expensive social services, which you benefit from, much more complex. You don't seem to have tackled that point.

Eurof--
Thanks for the hack Hayek. See point (4) above. I'm not saying I'm necessarily against it, I'm saying it raises some difficult questions that both you and Stefan appear to be completely unable to grasp.

Posted by: Charles on November 26, 2003 03:09 PM
#11

re point 4 no, you're right, we haven't tackled it because as people intimately acquainted with the welfare state we know that most economic immigrants don't actually qualify for insurance-based benefits in their new countries until they've worked productively for a while and paid their contributions. we sort of assumed you understood that but shan't overestimate you again. plus they tend to be the sort of people who get jobs immediately, and tend not to get sick as often (crossing the sahara on foot might weed weedy ones out), plus as you know they send a lot of money home to help chaddians left behind. so the problem isn't at all as bad as you and jˆrg haider might think.

Posted by: eurof on November 26, 2003 04:17 PM
#12

This is based on your intimate experience of a modern welfare state which has an open-door policy for immigrants. Which welfare state would that be, then? And, while we're at it, regarding the comparison to Jorg Haider, sod off.

Posted by: Charles on November 26, 2003 04:31 PM
#13

I think Jˆrg would say "sod offen zie".

Posted by: Stefan Geens on November 26, 2003 09:17 PM
#14

a thousand apologies, charles, i would never dream of comparing you to jˆrg haider. all i meant to say is that the pro-welfare state anti-immigration argument you're alluding to is one that he uses to scare middle-class austrians into voting for him.

wheras in fact the exact opposite is true: the only way the austrian state can finance its generous welfare programme in the face of an ageing population is through increased immigration to balance out the proportion of retirees to tax-paying wage earners.

there are no modern welfare states with full open-door immigration policies, as you well know, but so long as benefits are insurance-based their immigration policies are moot for the purposes of this discussion. however Sweden is a good example of what i mean, and the UK also, to a lesser extent (people who haven't paid Nat. Insurance contribution still qualify for a type of jobseekers allowance).

Posted by: eurof on November 27, 2003 01:14 AM
#15

Eurof-- walked away my foot. Thanks for the apology. I think you are right to apologise.

(1) The discussion was all about immigration policies, thus suggesting that "immigration policies are moot for the purposes of this discussion" merely shows you haven't been following the discussion terribly closely. (2)The discussion, just to make clear, was about totally free movement of labor --to quote Stefan "The world's poor would be immensely better off if they had the ability to move anywhere where there is work... Trade tariffs and visas are preventing a natural 'evening out' of the wealth disparity between first world and third." (3) I was saying that it is possible that totally free movement of labor would be a good idea but would put pressure on OECD social service provision. (4) You have babbled on about marginal changes to immigration policies which are pretty much irrelevant to this discussion.

From all of this we can conclude that either you are an idiot, or that you don't read stuff before commenting on it by suggesting the author is in communion with a racist thug. The first you wouldn't need to apologise for, I'm being generous in assuming its the second.

Posted by: charles on December 4, 2003 09:34 AM
#16

charles, nice try to get the last word and to then be able to say i walked away and you won. clearly we were having different discussions. mine however, was much more initeresting than yours.

why don't you just accept that you think that on this point, you think jˆrg haider may be right. it doesn't mean you're a racist at all. after all, hitler thought aspects of the versailles treaty was unjust, and so did woodrow wilson. that doesn't mean woodrow wilson was a nazi.

Posted by: eurof on December 4, 2003 12:49 PM
#17

You started it, saying I'd walked off.

Yes, clearly we were having different discussions, but as I was having the discussion first, based on Stefan's post and response, whereas your discussion was completely irrelevant and was supposedly an attack on what I said, you're an idiot.

And that has been my point all along since you made your slur --Jorg Haider may well agree that completely open immigration was a bad idea, but so would Woodrow Wilson,Michael Foot, etc etc. In the same way as saying "you and Hitler think that parts of the Versailles Treaty were unjust," saying "you and Haider think open immigration is bad" is merely trying to tar the argument as unacceptable by irrelevant association.

Give up. You're wrong.

Posted by: charles on December 5, 2003 05:05 AM
#18

i'm beginning to get upset at your pathetic atttempts to get the last word in here. having two concurrent discussions on exactly the same thing is pointless and annoying, two adjectives eminently applicable to your style of argument, by the way. i answer your substantive points, insofar as you have any, in the comments following "The End of Ironing", and suggest we leave this comment stream.

Posted by: eurof on December 5, 2003 01:24 PM
#19

So you can have the last word? Never!

Posted by: charles on December 6, 2003 03:13 AM
#20

you're infantile. grow up.

Posted by: eurof on December 6, 2003 09:51 AM
#21

Why not show *your* maturity by not responding? Why do *I* always have to be the mature one?

Posted by: charles on December 6, 2003 12:11 PM
#22

because you ARE more mature than me

Posted by: eurof on December 6, 2003 04:21 PM
#23

Damn. Alright then, I won't reply.

Posted by: charles on December 7, 2003 03:25 AM
#24

charles, please. just take one for the team and stop. we can't keep doing this.

why aren't you a team player?

Posted by: eurof on December 7, 2003 12:00 PM
#25

You ask me to stop and then you ask me a question? What am I meant to do now? Be a team player and stop or be polite and answer?

Posted by: charles on December 7, 2003 12:36 PM
#26

You are all uneducated about green cards because doctors do not need them. Read up on it. They are allowed entrance anytime.

Posted by: pedro on December 30, 2003 10:46 PM
#27

I'll shut up then as long as you call me Doctor.

Posted by: Stefan Geens on December 30, 2003 10:52 PM
#28

PLEASE HELP ME TO BE IN US.I HAVE TRIED ALL I CAN DO BUT IT SEEMS I'M FAILING EVERYTIME.I WILL BE HAPPY IF U CAN ASSIST ME

Posted by: adejumo. ifeoluwa. e. on March 18, 2004 12:59 AM
#29

Dear Sir,

I want to visit visa but no have souce to come your country. You tell me you do some help travel spain.

Posted by: Shahid on March 30, 2004 08:10 AM
#30

please help me to locate my name if i win.

Posted by: adewole satari on May 21, 2004 01:47 PM
#31

pls i will like to school in uk pls help me if i won, i will be very happy ,i love to study in uk but no money,pls help

Posted by: oghenero on June 11, 2004 11:17 PM
#32

hello
i am a nigerian who has got his high school sat looking for how to gofurther his education but having some financial problem so pls if u can help me i will be greatful
thanks

Posted by: walter on June 11, 2004 11:20 PM
#33

i need help in schooling ,i am living in nigeria and i have finished my high school i want to further my education but my parent dont have money

Posted by: sulaiman on September 18, 2004 09:47 AM
#34

i want to apply for the lottery

Posted by: on September 25, 2004 06:06 PM
#35

Good day Sir,

I'm M,r Dennis Ukam,30-year,Male,Nigerian and living in Nigeria.I want to apply for UK Citizenry Visa but I don't know how to go about it.UK has been my dream country since my childhood and I believe this is my right time for this destiny.I'll really appreciate it if you can give me an hopeful way to go about it and your personal assistance will be highly appreciated.
I promise to be a good and law-abiding citizen as I'm hoping to seeing your response.

Yours faithfully
Dennis Ukam

Posted by: Dennis Ukam on October 9, 2004 09:00 AM
#36

my nmae is biodun enifeni i am a guy who intends wants to go to uk but dont have good fanancial background i intend to change uk and i am a very active person 18 years i intend to break records in school and in the olympics cause i itend to do i t for the uk i will be glad if u let me and do it for me

Posted by: biodun on October 16, 2004 05:39 PM
#37

to whom it may get to
this is musa enifeni i dont have much to say but please have mercy and do this for me let me into the uk and u will be happy u did u wont regret

Posted by: biodun on October 16, 2004 05:42 PM
#38

I am a boy whop graduated from a secondary school in NIgeria and wish to contine studies in uk/USA but my parent's income is relatively low.
Anybody who feels like helping me.I am fatherless .Please help me.I want to study in the university of leeds but i don't know how to do about it.

Posted by: Oni Habeeb Agboola on February 5, 2005 02:55 AM
#39

I am a boy who graduated from a secondary school in NIgeria and wish to contine studies in uk/USA but my parent's income is relatively low.
Anybody who feels like helping me.I am fatherless .Please help me.I want to study in the university of leeds but i don't know how to do about it.

Posted by: Oni Habeeb Agboola on February 5, 2005 02:58 AM